Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 4.621323 5.257380 5.957349 6.786157 7.742478 8.813341 10.106183
2025-04-27 3.809912 4.648543 5.644207 6.918574 8.513642 10.453588 13.006097
2025-05-04 3.363816 4.322625 5.527165 7.162067 9.339394 12.161819 16.134010
2025-05-11 2.893532 3.872936 5.159503 6.989358 9.550996 13.047941 18.248843
2025-05-18 2.561210 3.549709 4.898937 6.897157 9.818823 13.992710 20.511850
2025-05-25 2.300354 3.287552 4.681400 6.821373 10.074546 14.916447 22.823104
2025-06-01 2.073761 3.045973 4.460866 6.704679 10.238101 15.697156 24.983237
2025-06-08 1.875730 2.824205 4.243008 6.560519 10.329922 16.357609 27.007411
2025-06-15 1.802388 2.782414 4.289703 6.826822 11.091981 18.158013 31.141874
2025-06-22 1.693745 2.673900 4.219493 6.892632 11.523218 19.446334 34.539319
2025-06-29 1.575462 2.538540 4.092300 6.847436 11.754060 20.404848 37.447996
2025-07-06 1.463891 2.404155 3.953836 6.766803 11.908839 21.235494 40.208387
2025-07-13 1.409701 2.363037 3.970779 6.963906 12.592446 23.122283 45.309008
2025-07-20 1.350538 2.308153 3.958695 7.106455 13.188395 24.909956 50.461723
2025-07-27 1.313065 2.287688 4.004366 7.358038 14.016445 27.239620 57.075780
2025-08-03 1.216416 2.153126 3.832804 7.180275 13.978326 27.821100 59.972516
2025-08-10 1.140157 2.049895 3.710279 7.085336 14.095253 28.730780 63.725206
2025-08-17 1.072833 1.958124 3.601719 7.007295 14.237084 29.704909 67.759374
2025-08-24 1.006053 1.862435 3.478143 6.887127 14.275904 30.455736 71.362687
2025-08-31 0.941512 1.766442 3.346688 6.738682 14.237380 31.026922 74.601900
2025-09-07 0.928996 1.771016 3.413616 7.012906 15.161339 33.901956 84.111855
2025-09-14 0.894922 1.730178 3.385907 7.080679 15.623528 35.746487 91.216059
2025-09-21 0.851667 1.667755 3.309328 7.034135 15.814871 36.958926 96.799632